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Predicting 2014 Local Election seat numbers on the basis of national opinion polls employing a constituency-level analysis

Wonderful insightful and comprehensive article by Adrian Kavanagh on the local election seat numbers on the basis of national opinion polls.

Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses

Adrian Kavanagh, 23 July 2013 

This post will attempt to ascertain what different political parties/groupings’ seat levels might be following next year’s City and County Council elections on the basis of national support figures associated with recent opinion polls, along the lines of similar analyses on The Irish Political Forum website, which attempts to predict Dáil seat numbers on the basis of such poll figures.

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